I had a difficult time thinking of a title for this post, one of the contenders was: “Fun with pie charts” (well, because, for me I really do have fun with pie charts). But seriously I did want to highlight the fact that a dismal statistic (the rape conviction rate) is actually pathetic.
One of my cyberfeminist-buds sent me a link to The Fawcett Society and the Society’s new report that less than 15% of rapes are actually reported. (See also Rape—The Facts.) The key points of the report are:
- Less than 15% of rapes are reported
- Only 1 in 5 reported rapes make it to court
- Only 6% result in conviction
The last two stats are actually rounded up a little, as the (UK) national average for seeing reported rapes ending in conviction is 5.3%, so it is rather a generous rounding up of the dismal conviction rate. (See also the Truth About Rape and the breakdown by county of the national stats, based on the British Crime Survey.)
Anyway, I wanted to put the conviction rate in context of both the reported rapes and total rapes. This is where Stormy’s fun with pie charts takes on a life of its own. :-D
Firstly, let’s clock the visual (using Fawcett’s figure above). Only 15% of rapes are reported (at the end of all of this, I will run through some other scenarios, but it still doesn’t look good for our legal system).
Of course I colour-coded the unreported rapes as green (the green light to rape), because it is very ‘skip-dee-doo-dah nothin’ ain’t gunna happen to our garden variety rapist’ (primarily it is the rapists that are known to the victim that aren’t reported).
Of course now, we need to see what happens with reported rapes. Only one in five end up in court (20%), and of those, less than 6% result in conviction. Let me take just a moment to emphasis that the investigation is discontinued in 80% of cases of reported rapes. 80%. Yes, nothing further happens for 80% of rape victims, zippo chance of ever seeing justice. And remember, we are being very generous saying 6% conviction rate, it’s closer to 5%. Also remember that 14% of victims who go through the trauma of a case, only to see the scumbag walk out without a conviction.
Well Stormy, this isn’t looking good is it? That red slice (convictions) is a teeny weeny chunck of the pie, and the orange one ain’t so huge either.
OK, but I think we should put this back into the context of ALL (total) rapes happening, not just the reported ones. Using Fawcett’s 15% figure, let’s now put the discontinuations, court but no conviction, and court with (YAY!) convictions. It’s going to look like this:
Yikes! Where the fuck has my little red slice gone??? Dammit, it’s not even registering as one full percent, even after the generous rounding up. WTF!
So let’s put it in terms for the rapist/perpetrator.
85% of the time, he won’t even be inconvenienced.
12% of the time, a bit of inconvenience, he may get some questioning by the police, but that is more likely to go *wink wink* *nod nod* and lots of dudely talk of ‘consent and she was gagging for it, so what’s a guy to do but step up to the plate’?
So in putting those figures together, our ‘charitable dude’ will suffer little or no inconvenience 97% of the time. I’m liking those odds. Wonder if I can find a lottery with those odds?
Now let’s look at those poor bastards in the 3%. Three percent of rapists are going to have to buy or borrow a suit, plus hire a barrister. Oh! the humanity, oh! the expense! Dammit, shoulda gone to a prozzie, woulda been cheaper. Dems da risks when you use the non-professional whores (hey remember, all women are whores, and why pay for it when you can get it for nothing eh?)
But still, it’s pretty good odds (97%) that our charitable dude won’t have to go through all this hassle.
Sadly for our charitable dude, if he is unlikely enough to find himself in the midst of all this inconvenience and cash outlay, he’s facing a (slightly more than) 25%—75% odds stacked against him, still very much in his favour, but WTF, where’s all the dick impunity that I’m so used to?
Well, even all the other dudes get a bit down on him at this point. Lazy dude, couldn’t be arsed reading the Rapists’ HandbookTM. Didn’t he fucking well know NOT to rape a 16yo (stranger) virgin on her way to choir practice? Besides, it’s up to dudes to keep their own ho’s and bitches in line, not to fuck with some other dude’s property.
*[other] dudes roll eyes* Stoopid dude.
So, stoopid dudes fall into less than 1% of all dude-rapists. Guess it must be a form of acceptable losses for the patriarchy. Because if you look at it, out of a 1,000 girls/women getting raped, 9 or less, will see their rapists convicted.
Remember that this is being generous, in reality, it would be 7 or 8 convicted per 1,000 rapes.
“But Stormy, I cannot believe that so many rapes go unreported, and that figure is way too high”. Firstly, I’d reply “bullshit, fuck up and die you rape-apologist”. I’d probably then go on to say, well, I have been raped several times over 30 years, and NONE were reported to the cops (all were known perps BTW, notoriously hard to get a conviction, but the perps are known in c.80% of rapes). I have also known numerous women who have been raped, and a grand total of NONE have reported it either. And I’d probably finish off with “fuck up and die a really nasty horrible death in which your penis shrivels, you rape-apologist”. All because I’m a kick-arse word-smith.
But anyway, I still went on to run several other statistical models to see what would happen to our ‘glorious’ 6% conviction rate. Here goes (the fairy figures):
So there you have it. “6%” even in fairyland you’d be pushing to get two or three percent conviction rate out of total rates committed.
Contrary to popular (MRA) belief, most women DO NOT REPORT RAPE. And most rapists GET AWAY WITH IT. And rapists are 99% of the time—MALE (and even when the victim is male).
* * *
So the answer to the riddle “When is 6% not 6%?” is:
“When it is in reality, less than 1%.”